What Will Matter for Bitcoin and Crypto This Week

Bitcoin (BTC) profits from a mild stabilization in the U.S. stock market and ends the week around $85,000.

Bitcoin (BTC) benefits from a mild stabilization in the U.S. stock market and ends the week around $85,000. The altcoins mostly move higher as well. For example, Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest crypto, is up on the week by about seven percent. Ripple (XRP) and Binance Coin (BNB) are also showing gains of around five percent.

In the coming trading week, investors will focus mainly on the latest U.S. core inflation figures (PCE). Whatever other economic data emerge this week, you can read about them below.

Key Economic Figures Next Week

Investors will first look at consumer confidence in the U.S. in the fourth trading week of March, to be released on Tuesday. On Wednesday, durable goods orders in the U.S. follow. On Thursday, the final U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) figures for Q4 2024 are released. Friday wraps up with the latest U.S. core inflation data (PCE). Investors will also be watching remarks from various Federal Reserve officials throughout the week. At the last rate decision, hawkish tones were heard, while QT reduction was only cut by one third. Market participants hope for more clarity on future U.S. monetary policy.

U.S. Consumer Confidence (Conference Board) – Tuesday

Tuesday, March 25, 2025: At 15:00 CET, the Conference Board will release March’s U.S. consumer confidence data. Last month, the index fell sharply to 98.3, well below the 102.7 expectation. For March, analysts again forecast a steep drop to 94.2. If confidence worsens or misses even more, it could weigh on equities and crypto markets. If consumer confidence surprises to the upside, riskier assets like Bitcoin could rise. A notable improvement in confidence would likely boost expectations for future U.S. consumer spending.

Durable Goods Orders – U.S. (February) – Wednesday

Wednesday, March 26, 2025: The U.S. Census Bureau will release the latest durable goods orders at 13:30 CET. Last time, orders jumped 3.1%, well above the 2.0% forecast. For February, analysts expect a drop to -0.6%. If the data beats expectations, it could be positive for stocks and crypto. If it misses, the dollar could strengthen and weigh on riskier assets.

Final U.S. GDP (Q4 2024) – Thursday

Thursday, March 27, 2025: At 13:30 CET, the final GDP figures for Q4 2024 will be released. The prior estimate was +2.3%, below the earlier +2.7% projection. If the final numbers come in weaker than expected, the Fed may keep a tighter hold on economic growth. Weaker growth could push stock prices lower. If growth is stronger than earlier estimates—toward +3.1%—investors may react positively, suggesting the economy is holding up despite higher rates.

U.S. Core Inflation (PCE) – Friday

Friday, March 28, 2025: At 13:30 CET, the latest U.S. core PCE inflation data for February will be released. Last month, the core PCE rose 0.3% month over month, as expected. Since the CPI core inflation recently declined more than expected, the risk of renewed inflation concerns in the U.S. has eased somewhat. Analysts again forecast a +0.3% rise. If the PCE core inflation comes in lower than expected (similar to the CPI trend), the odds of a May rate cut by the Fed rise. That would be positive for stocks and crypto. If core inflation matches or beats expectations, the inflation risk persists, making a near-term rate cut less likely and potentially weighing on riskier assets like equities and crypto.